Recently, the price of pork has soared. The rise in food and feed prices is one of the drivers. For example, as the old saying goes, “Food security is in the worldâ€, the food issue is not only related to “rice bagsâ€, but also has direct or indirect effects on life and production materials. A poor solution will certainly become an unstable factor in economic development. Some experts said that fluctuations in food prices are not determined solely by the supply and demand of the market, and disaster weather has often become a booster for rising food prices. From the current situation in China, despite the severe natural disasters encountered, the summer crops have been harvested and winter wheat production has achieved “eight consecutive increasesâ€. However, taking into account the increase in agricultural labor costs and the rise in costs of chemical fertilizers, pesticides, and diesel, future prices of food and other agricultural products will continue to operate at a high level, which may become an unavoidable trend in the course of economic growth. Manual Tire Changer,Tire Changing Machine,Tire Mounting Machine,Used Tire Machine Wuxi Golden Boat Car Washing Equipment Co.,Ltd , https://www.carwashauto.com
Prevent food prices from fluctuating under complicated factors
"Eight-Feng Feng" still exists after the pressure
In 2011, the national summer grain output was 126.27 million tons, an increase of 3.12 million tons over the previous year, and achieved “Eight Lianfengâ€. In addition, from the current growth point of view, the autumn harvest is also a high probability event. Du Xiaoshan, deputy director of the Institute of Rural Development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences interviewed by this reporter, said that the current state of the country’s grain reserves is sufficient to ensure market supply and maintain basic price stability.
In the situation where the price of meat is soaring and the prices of agricultural products are bullish, the summer harvest is undoubtedly a major plus. We have seen that this achievement has been achieved at the high starting point of the “seven-consecutive increase†in grain and overcome the severe challenges of drought and other natural disasters, especially in the context of rising international grain prices and reduction of grain production in some countries and regions. The harvest of summer grain in China is not easy. However, it should be clearly realized that although the summer crops have achieved a good harvest, the successive reversals of the heavy rains and droughts and floods have added a lot of “concerns†to food production. At the same time, drought, low temperatures, floods, etc... With the increase, the unfavorable factors that have led to the stable development of China's grain production have become increasingly prominent.
Professor Zheng Fengtian, deputy dean of the School of Agriculture and Rural Development of Renmin University of China, who has long paid attention to the issue of agriculture, rural areas and farmers, said: “In recent years, the prices of fertilizers, pesticides and other agricultural materials and labor costs have risen rapidly in China, which has led to a substantial increase in food production costs. In addition, the relatively low benefit of grain production has led farmers to be reluctant to invest in farmland water conservancy facilities such as small farm water, the ability to cope with extreme climate events will become weaker in the future, and food security will face major problems. In the future, it is necessary to increase the comparative benefits of food production. Only by ensuring the enthusiasm of farmers for grain production can we ensure the country’s food security."
Food price slows up and is irreversible
How is the grain harvest price trend? “Food prices will continue to rise moderately in the second half of the year,†and many experts have made the above statement and believe that “a gradual increase is reasonableâ€. Du Xiaoshan said that in order to protect the interests of farmers, the state has steadily increased grain storage and storage prices every year, and a reasonable rise in grain prices will help farmers increase their income. In addition, the increase in agricultural capital expenditures, the rapid rise in agricultural labor costs, and the modest increase in food prices are conducive to guaranteeing farmers' enthusiasm for growing grain.
In fact, apart from the most basic supply-demand relations and extreme weather, there are many factors that affect food prices. In recent years, the increase in factor costs, such as agricultural resources and labor costs, has played a significant role in promoting food prices. Zheng Fengtian analyzed that the price of food is seriously underestimated compared with house prices, land prices, wages of peasant workers, etc. At present, there is a new phenomenon of scissors for workers and farmers, that is, the gap between the income of planting grain and the income of planting cash crops, the income from working outside the house, and the income from growing grains has increased. The rising rate of grain prices has not been able to catch up with the increase in the rate of increase in agricultural resources. Therefore, in the long run, It is normal and inevitable that the price of food has been rising slowly.
The current international food prices have been soaring and plunging, will it affect the future trend of China's food prices? The industry generally believes that in the case of the summer grain “Eightful Lianfengâ€, the national reserves are relatively abundant, and the recent food prices will not have much fluctuation.
Li Guoxiang, a research fellow at the Institute of Rural Development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that there is still a lot of upward pressure on global food prices this year, and this increase may also be transmitted to the Chinese market through multiple channels, and some varieties will be conducted through imported channels. Self-sufficient varieties will indirectly exert pressure on China's food prices through signal transmission. In fact, starting in 2010, the era of China's cheap agricultural products has ended. The recent upward pressure on domestic food prices is mainly driven by cost and the state’s efforts to protect the interests of farmers in grain production, raising the minimum grain purchase price reasonably, and some unscrupulous businessmen are trying to buy food in the acquisition market in order to hoard grain and raise prices in the market. Increase inventory.
"Policy + Technology"
Prevent food prices from fluctuating
Although the issue of food security is not very big, under the background of resisting inflation, the price of food has attracted attention. Judging from the actual situation, a reasonable increase in food prices is inevitable, and it is necessary to prevent price fluctuations.
How to look at food price volatility and its adverse effects? Li Guoxiang admitted that food prices in the international market are currently fluctuating at a high level, and they are difficult to avoid because of the lack of a coordination mechanism. The domestic grain price control mechanism is relatively sound.
Zheng Fengtian expressed his approval. He believes that China’s staple food prices, ie, wheat, corn, and rice, fluctuate little, and food prices seldom rise sharply. This is due to China’s strong grain storage system. The country’s grain is purchased at a minimum protection price and is purchased exclusively by farmers. The national reserve grain bank is also guaranteed by the financial lending system of agricultural institutions and other financial institutions. When the price falls, the state buys the market, and when it soars, it sells itself to stabilize prices.
Du Xiaoshan believes that in the long run, to prevent food prices from fluctuating sharply and grain harvest is the foundation, we must first ensure a balance between supply and demand, and second, we must have adequate policy reserves. In addition to preventing food price volatility through regulatory measures, there should be sound mechanisms for investment protection and technology promotion. “Improvement of production technology and improvement of seed science and technology level are all important aspects that promote production and ensure quality without increasing costs. There is still a certain amount of space in terms of agricultural resources and circulation to avoid waste and control costs,†said Du Xiaoshan.